Tips, Trends and Tales from a Pro
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Manhattan’s real estate market
Are we approaching a turning point in Manhattan’s housing market? Are prices nearing the bottom? Only with the benefit of hindsight can we determine highs and lows, but it feels very much like 2009 when home prices sank and remained flat until regaining traction and climbing past the peaks of 2007 to new highs seven years later in 2014.
If 2005 was the year of the bubble that wasn’t, how will this sixth year of the second millennium play out for buyers, sellers and brokers?
Last year, boom and bust stories about the real estate market dominated the press with dramatic headlines. For the most part, however, the reports were conflicting, and the media spin on medians and averages proved to be confusing ultimately for readers. There were contradictory interpretations of statistics as data was misread and facts were distorted—particularly in the year’s last quarter which saw a decided drop in the volume of sales, though not in the price of transactions.
As momentum continues in Manhattan’s real estate market, with record setting prices the focus of media and cocktail party attention, shouts about a possible bubble are turning to whispers. In 2004, prices across the nation rose faster than in any other year since the 1970’s. Despite disappointing employment and corporate numbers, declining consumer confidence, high oil prices, sagging U.S. and global stock, and worldwide uncertainties, prices in New York surged in a tight market amid heightened demand and frenzied activity. High incomes and low interest rates fueled ever-rising values. In nearly all segments of the real estate market, bidding wars drove prices up by leaps.
