With the click of a mouse, homeowners today can obtain instant quotes on the value of their most significant asset: their homes. Banks, insurance companies, real estate brokerages and even media companies offer computer generated property valuations using formulaic software based on publicly available metrics such as square footage, number of rooms, bedrooms, bathrooms and recorded neighborhood sales. These computer-generated estimates, however, lack elementary inspections, critical market perspective and professional intuition, so they fall grossly short of the mark
Is it legal for an attorney to send out multiple contracts on the same property simultaneously? The answer is yes. Is it ethical? The answer depends on whether there’s full disclosure. In the same vein, is it lawful and ethical for an agent to represent more than one buyer in negotiations on the same property? Both queries are thorny and merit serious consideration.
The more things change, the more they remain the same. Ten years ago, I concluded in a column, “Some sellers get no respect.” Homeowners who set unrealistic values on their homes—who fail to heed conservative pricing advice from experienced agents—lose valuable time and ultimately money. That message is worth repeating, particularly in today’s climate where price drops abound and where activity has slowed.
Three years ago, several weeks into the start of 2013, I reflected on the Wall Street adage “As January goes, so goes the year.” At the time, impressive financial gains were scored with both the S&P 500 and the Dow which were up in the month of January 2013 by 5.05% and 5.77% respectively, signaling the best start to the year since 1987. In residential Manhattan real estate, January 2013 witnessed a jump of nearly 28% in signed contracts over January 2012 (2,888 vs. 2,265). Sofia Song, at the time StreetEasy’s Head of Research, called it “The Year of the Frustrated Buyer.” I termed it “The Year of the Smart Seller.”
With the exception of well priced apartments under $2M which continue to attract multiple competitive bids and top sales dollars, price increases of Manhattan homes have abated. Sellers have relinquished their upper hand as buyers find more balanced footing in a market that seems to be heading back slowly to equilibrium. Throughout this year, new development options have come to market steadily yielding more than two and a half times as many choices for buyers than in 2014: approximately 6,500 units in 100 new buildings compared to roughly 2,500 units in 59 buildings last year. At the ultra high end, sales are stalled. In 2015, Manhattan’s residential real estate market shifted in more ways than one.
The allure of a penthouse or for that matter any apartment with a setback terrace is irresistible. A precious and highly coveted commodity, terrace ownership connotes a certain quality of life with bragging rights. To the urban dweller, outdoor space offers oases of air, light, sky and ultimately status. Outdoor space sells at a premium in New York City, and for the purchaser, caveat emptor reigns supreme. It’s critical for a buyer to understand the governing Proprietary Lease and House Rules which will vary from building to building and also to consult with an attorney regarding local ordinances and building codes as they relate to what can and cannot be done, placed or built on a terrace.
I’m at the midpoint of my current co-op renovation, a total gut of a two bedroom apartment, and this is my 6th undertaking to date, not including my Westchester home which was a builder’s spec house that I finished. I’ve renovated the one bedroom units for my two children, altered our first family postwar on East 79th Street, then our seven room prewar on Central Park West, and 5 years ago I gutted a one bedroom pied a terre. Renovating a Manhattan co-op presents unique challenges and requires careful planning.
Congratulations! You’ve signed a contract to purchase your next apartment, and you’re pretty confident the co-op board will approve your purchase. It’s not too soon to begin planning your actual move-out/move-in. Ranking high on life’s stress meter because it’s all about displacement and disruption, moving requires preparation, organization and perspective.
September 9, 2013. The fundamentals of Manhattan’s residential marketplace that have characterized most of 2013 are expected to continue into the fourth quarter with some notable variations. Demand will remain strong; inventory will improve somewhat; prices will hold steady; interest rates are trending higher however.
Combining apartments to create larger residential spaces is not a new concept, but it’s also not an everyday occurrence. Despite Mayor Bloomberg’s advancement of affordable pint sized micro units, the demand for large properties continues as does the practice of putting together multiple units. Even developers of new condo products are going back to their drawing boards to combine apartments to capture higher price yields per square foot. Given the current shortage of sizeable properties, one wonders whether we will be seeing more combinations.
Does the direction of January predict the course for the year? Wall Street where the adage originated thinks so. The first month of 2013 scored impressive gains with the S&P up 5.05% and the Dow gaining 5.77%—signaling the best January since 1987 and rising above 14000 for the first time in over five years. In Manhattan’s residential marketplace, a similar scenario is occurring on the Main Streets of our city with 859 contracts signed in the first month of 2013, up 30% compared to January 2012 and the highest January according to Noah Rosenblatt since his online UrbanDigs began compiling real time analytics in 2009. Following a gangbuster December when players raced to close before January 1 tax changes, and contrary to expectations for a beginning of the year slowdown, properties in January were snapped up by buyers who competed aggressively and speedily for a limited supply of homes.
The Art of Ethical Negotiation, part of a series of master classes in the NYRS program, takes place in the wood paneled boardroom at the Real Estate Board of New York. It’s an intimate venue that allows 30+ participants to engage in a lively discourse about bargaining and winning. It’s less about revealing real estate war stories and more about successful professionals discussing best strategies. For the past several years, it’s been led by Warburg’s President Frederick Peters and his life long friend, veteran investment banker Alec Haverstick, a principal at Bessemer Trust. Following is my take-away on guidelines for conducting a successful negotiation.
Is there an optimum time to list a property? Yes and no. Spring is the season of perennial promise when inventory, demand and activity peak. But buying and selling occur year round, and while the seasonal calendar affects the volume and velocity of sales, there are two more important considerations than the time of year a property comes to market—namely the life stages of buyers and sellers defined by marriage, birth, death, and employment and the life cycle of a listing which is shaped by pricing and condition.
We’re at an interesting moment of time in the current residential marketplace. On the one hand, an already thinning inventory of apartments has been shrinking steadily since the second quarter of this year. According to analytics provided by Noah Rosenblatt’s www.urbandigs.com, as of this writing, a total of 5,659 apartments are on the market in Manhattan—the lowest number in more than four years. At the same time, there are 3,012 pending sales—just 189 deals short of the highest number of signed contracts achieved during this same period on June 14th of this year. Properties in all price ranges are being absorbed at a faster rate than new properties are coming to market. With supply dwindling and demand rising, sellers who price realistically have the edge today.
Last December as the year was coming to a close, the New York Times characterized 2011 as “The Year of the Turndown.” In addition, the reporter acknowledged that it was becoming more common for co-op boards to grant provisional consent to buyers, requiring that significant sums of money be held in escrow to ensure that monthly charges would be paid on time. This year, co-op board rejections and conditional approvals have not diminished; in fact, they are on the rise.
New York Residential Specialists stand out above the crowd. The new credential—the highest offered by the Real Estate Board of New York—encourages the best among us to step up to be recognized for our commitment to professional excellence and advanced education. The designation—or its acronym NYRS—identifies those who meet qualifying criteria and complete an eight week educational course with renewal classes biannually. For the industry, the new designation is all about raising the bar and maintaining high standards of professionalism, ethics and leadership. For brokers who achieve the new title, a certain competitive edge is gained. For consumers, the credential is the industry’s quality control and veritable seal of approval.
Selling a prewar loft in SoHo has become problematic of late because of renewed attention to AIR—artist in residence—zoning requirements. Though the law has been in effect since the early 70’s, it’s been virtually ignored—until now. Although the reasons behind the new focus are sketchy, it’s clear that if the zoning rules currently on the books for SoHo were enforced strictly, real estate values would be undermined. It’s time to amend the outdated ruling and acknowledge that SoHo is a different place today than 40 years ago.
I’ve taken liberties with a line from Alexander Pope’s philosophical poem “The Essay on Man” for my title. This spring, we’ve witnessed a new bounce in our residential marketplace along with a renewed buzz, increased activity and stabilizing prices. As of this writing, roughly 18 month’s after banking institutions failed on Wall Street, Manhattan real estate is recovering. An improved momentum is expected to be sustained this quarter resulting in strong April to May stats for contracts signed.
October is a strong month on Manhattan’s real estate calendar. Following the Jewish High Holy Days—which this year come “late” on the heels of seasonal summer doldrums—the fall is generally anticipated to be a sharp selling period. Usually after Labor Day, there’s a welcome rush of new offerings.
”There is a difference between working hard and working smart,” says Eileen Spinola, REBNY Senior Vice President of Brokerage Services and Education. “Those who are successful in our industry do both. The caliber of broker graduates from our new NYRS Designation Course confirms that advanced education is indeed working smart. But the NYRS course,” she continues, “is not for the casual student. It is demanding not only of a broker’s time, but the curriculum is rigorous, mentally challenging, and there’s a required final project.“
